Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 982.918684 1117.312719 1268.396200 1451.802515 1669.731605 1922.027084 2238.567305
2025-05-04 785.295345 960.916822 1177.891116 1469.706065 1858.196131 2366.811950 3098.853927
2025-05-11 679.395984 870.279473 1120.605734 1480.610506 1998.294292 2737.545422 3915.413368
2025-05-18 619.583719 824.106401 1105.973299 1535.191037 2195.574307 3215.699621 5004.239951
2025-05-25 568.143189 779.418696 1082.845190 1567.839975 2359.144275 3670.348399 6181.988003
2025-06-01 520.650803 732.933406 1048.570604 1574.476904 2477.727679 4071.618893 7385.806525
2025-06-08 479.325050 689.995109 1012.859493 1570.963943 2574.940759 4452.449229 8673.329955
2025-06-15 452.347010 665.491764 1002.002610 1605.407750 2743.033681 5002.349273 10523.528916
2025-06-22 412.546659 616.570521 945.724621 1552.093127 2736.162813 5198.148584 11621.899495
2025-06-29 379.377538 575.209139 897.480990 1506.221428 2734.764907 5403.616191 12828.041843
2025-07-06 349.057130 535.911283 848.800512 1453.037252 2708.961703 5547.980059 13930.531117
2025-07-13 338.808359 529.223679 855.834137 1506.370117 2916.141744 6290.953402 17175.464127
2025-07-20 322.894348 512.157266 843.844358 1523.220772 3052.967730 6917.016557 20491.728944
2025-07-27 308.511227 496.663064 833.376739 1542.286838 3200.732941 7625.318868 24632.841678
2025-08-03 294.601687 480.754266 820.361126 1553.866320 3332.730128 8334.423574 29357.680954
2025-08-10 287.336667 476.192629 828.390183 1611.872208 3593.771104 9527.753464 37399.434773
2025-08-17 277.966601 466.921410 826.177378 1646.585205 3802.290868 10641.484195 46379.014611
2025-08-24 266.483934 452.765445 812.795053 1653.643135 3937.175282 11563.188453 55519.854936
2025-08-31 254.886527 437.533401 795.816131 1649.907280 4041.138954 12421.300410 65571.580852
2025-09-07 247.868365 430.634673 795.461513 1686.542148 4274.238740 13894.339836 82816.959033
2025-09-14 233.234033 407.803363 759.519421 1629.841390 4207.815746 14108.556024 90151.923030
2025-09-21 220.363457 387.728357 728.035417 1581.080699 4158.399650 14387.607626 98838.233142
2025-09-28 207.775031 367.527617 694.891537 1524.575965 4074.229512 14486.425997 106149.635035